I know we'd all love for there to be some great movement afoot in Iran. Much has been made of how the internet is going to save the Iranian reformist movement - but it is becoming all too clear that the powers that be are perfectly willing to crush the reformists in broad daylight.
Foreign journalists are being sent home or have had their movements strictly limited - the "investigation" ordered by the Supreme Leader has been exposed for the sham it always was...
Now Iran's strong man is telling people to get off the streets. It's pretty clear he means it this time.
This time next week, I would expect us to be talking about how Iran has ruthlessly crushed the reformists - and how we never should have allowed ourselves to expect anything else.
There's a great moment in the movie Goin' South (1978) where Jack Nicholson is fleeing a western posse near the Mexican border. He rides like hell and makes it in Mexico - then turns to laugh at his pursuers.
Then the posse crosses the border, grabs Nicholson, and drags him back into the US to face jail.
The lesson being: you can believe you're in the right all you want - but if your opponent is willing to do anything to win - you really can't count on that to save you.
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