Pre-landfall projections, via the NHC
The only positive is the barometer reading (at least as of this writing) is at 958.
It's not much of a upside, but it was 942 a few hours ago. Katrina got down to 902.
The undisputed facts are fairly sparse: in the early pre-dawn hours of Friday, August 22, a small joint American-Afghan force came under attack in a village called Azizabad, in the Shindand District of southern Herat Province. While offering support to the embattled unit, an AC-130 gunship fired into a cluster of buildings. Beyond this, the facts become murky, even contradictory.It's just maddening to think that this back and forth is all the information we will get on this subject. That there isn't some kind of ongoing process to determine what exactly is happening.
On Saturday, August 23, Voice of America reported that, while Afghan officials complained that the strike had killed “at least 70 people, including women and children,” a U.S. coalition spokesman claimed that a battlefield assessment indicated only thirty Taliban were killed, and that a follow-up investigation was under way.
[snip]
Local officials, including a spokesman for the western regional command of the Afghan National Army, claimed they found the bodies of sixty children and nineteen women among the dead.
[snip]
By Monday, August 25, they were counting the dead in Azizabad: a local human rights group claimed “at least 78 people were killed” during the clashes and the air strike, while the Ministry of Interior claimed seventy-six people died, including fifty children under the age of fifteen.
[snip]
The situation took an altogether different turn by Wednesday, August 27, when the U.N. announced that its own investigation revealed “convincing evidence” that at least ninety civilians, sixty of them children, had died during the Azizabad incident.
[snip]
By Thursday, August 28—six days after the initial incident—the Pentagon leaked its own version of events to The New York Times, claiming that photographs of the scene after the firefight revealed little evidence for a higher civilian death toll, the U.N.’s investigation was cursory, and other reports relied too heavily on the testimony of local villagers rather than physical evidence such as freshly dug graves or injured people in local hospitals. One U.S. military investigation repeats the claim of twenty-five dead insurgents and five dead civilians, but still proposes additional “joint” investigations of the incident—leaving one to wonder what, exactly, they are still investigating.
To create a new test, all teachers would have to do was write up a bunch of questions and then “deploy” them to each of the classroom’s PCs. Because Classroom Assistant wasn’t a networked product, deploying the tests involved taking the 3.5" disk containing the test questions and then loading the disk into each computer.What could go wrong?
Taking the “digital” tests was even easier. A student would simply select the appropriate test from the “test library”, run through the randomly selected questions, and then instantly see her results. She’d then raise her hand, and the teacher could then write down the test results as seen on the screen.
[Students] could simply CTRL-C to DOS, navigate to the appropriate test folder, and then type in the following at the prompt:
This would overwrite the particular test’s answer key, ensuring that C was, in fact, always the correct answer. Some students even patched together a batch file that overwrote all answer keys for all tests.ECHO CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC > answer.key
Shortly thereafter, River City High moved back to the paper and pencil tests.
Mr. Goodman, who helped craft Sen. John McCain's health care policy, said anyone with access to an emergency room effectively has insurance, albeit the government acts as the payer of last resort. (Hospital emergency rooms by law cannot turn away a patient in need of immediate care.)So, all you people in the ERs of America... cheer up! You may not have access to preventative medicine - but Mr. Goodman says you've had insurance all along! And since you have insurance - the government is free to ignore you.
"So I have a solution. And it will cost not one thin dime," Mr. Goodman said. "The next president of the United States should sign an executive order requiring the Census Bureau to cease and desist from describing any American – even illegal aliens – as uninsured. Instead, the bureau should categorize people according to the likely source of payment should they need care.
"So, there you have it. Voila! Problem solved."
Last night upon the stair,Justin Peters details media struggling in vain to isolate the disgruntled Hillary partisans at the Democratic Convention.
I saw a man who wasn't there.
He wasn't there again today.
My God, I wish he'd go away
After the last night’s speech, journalists were apparently clustered around the New York delegation, going person to person, trying to find one of the vaunted Obama refuseniks. No dice. “The whole idea seems to have come from pundits,” Gabe said. (I’m paraphrasing.) “They erected their own straw man, and then they brought it down. And it never existed in the first place.”Even accepting that some Hillary supporters are now willing to vote for McCain, you have to question reporters who keep this issue on life support.
The Executive’s argument boils down to a claim that a stay is appropriate because the underlying issue is important. But that is beside the point and does not demonstrate a likelihood of success on the merits. Simply calling an issue important -- primarily because it involves the relationship of the political branches -- does not transform the Executive’s weak arguments into a likelihood of success or a substantial appellate issue.Still, good vintage though.
Ted Kennedy with Brain Cancer, on (Probably) Morphine, and in Excruciating Pain Can STILL Read a Teleprompter Better than McCainFull post
During Clinton's historic run for president, not only were her positions on big issues analyzed, so too, was her appearance. The media occasionally mocked her proclivity for the pantsuit, and even fashion mavens like Donatella Versace weighed in on Clinton's wardrobe choices.Is there anything less relevant than a clothing critique for someone who is no longer running for president?
But the Bush administration apparently conveyed to the Pakistani military after that episode that it now expected the Musharraf regime to deliver high-ranking al Qaeda officials — and to do so at a particularly advantageous moment for the administration. The New Republic magazine reported Jul. 15, 2004 that a White House aide had told the visiting head of ISI, Ehsan ul-Haq, that “it would be best if the arrest or killing of any HVT [high value target] were announced on 26, 27 or 28 July.” Those were the last three days of the Democratic National Convention.
[snip]
Just hours before Democratic candidate John Kerry’s acceptance speech, Pakistan announced the capture of an alleged al Qaeda leader.
Someone hacked into a U.S. Homeland Security Department phone system and made 400 calls to the Middle East and Asia, racking up $12,000 in long-distance charges, The Associated Press reported.Way to go, guys.
The reality is they have some investment properties and stuff. It's not as if he lives in ten houses. That's just not the case," Rogers said. "The reality is they have four that actually could be considered houses they could use."No, he doesn't live in ten houses. He just owns ten houses. See?
[the press] should focus on Obama's house. "It's a frickin' mansion."Our opponent has a nice house, why can't McCain have ten?
"This is a guy who lived in one house for five and a half years -- in prison," referring to the prisoner of war camp that McCain was in during the Vietnam War.I cannot be rich, because once I was poor.
John McCain is not an arugula-eating, pointy headed professor-type based on his life story.I'm rubber, you're glue...!
Here, courtesy of the New York Times, is the new joy the Attorney General is announcing to "protect yer freedums":God bless America.
A Justice Department plan would loosen restrictions on the Federal Bureau of Investigation to allow agents to open a national security or criminal investigation against someone without any clear basis for suspicion, Democratic lawmakers briefed on the details said Wednesday.
...
The senators said the new guidelines would allow the F.B.I. to open an investigation of an American, conduct surveillance, pry into private records and take other investigative steps “without any basis for suspicion.” The plan “might permit an innocent American to be subjected to such intrusive surveillance based in part on race, ethnicity, national origin, religion, or on protected First Amendment activities,” the letter said. It was signed by Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, Edward M. Kennedy of Massachusetts and Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. (emphasis added)
The outlook for Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc darkened further on Thursday as a newspaper reported that an intended asset sale had collapsed and a Citigroup analyst forecast big losses for the group.I know, I'm a naysayer.
The fourth-largest U.S. investment bank has taken a $7 billion hit from credit-related writedowns and losses since the start of the global crisis and is forecast to write down more.
Lehman is concerned its capital cushion is not enough to absorb losses, and people close to the matter said this week it is considering selling at least a part of its asset management business.
They are trying to provoke you. Don't let them.Meet a guy who didn't take that advice: Steve Cherundolo
Late yesterday, a federal judge said he is considering holding the Central Intelligence Agency in contempt for destroying videotapes depicting the interrogation of al Qaeda detainees. Judge Alvin Hellerstein of the U.S. District Court of the Southern District of New York ordered the CIA to identify everything that it had destroyed and also catalogue all summaries, transcripts, information on witnesses and any relevant documents or memoranda within 30 days after an order is entered.Wouldn't that be nice?
No, not Guatamala, that's tomorrow! The other forces of raw evil....Scoreline - August 19, 2008
The results of the new Pew Survey on News Consumption (taken every two years and released this afternoon) suggest that viewers of the “fake news” programs "The Daily Show"and "The Colbert Report" are more knowledgeable about current events (as judged by three test questions) than watchers of “real” cable news shows hosted by Lou Dobbs, Bill O’Reilly and Larry King, among others -- as well as average consumers of NBC, ABC, Fox News, CNN, C-SPAN and daily newspapers.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac tumbled in New York trading to their lowest levels in more than 17 years on concern the government will be forced to bail out the mortgage- finance companies, wiping out common stockholders.
Fannie slid 22 percent, while Freddie dropped 25 percent after Barron's reported that the Bush administration is anticipating the government-chartered companies will fail to raise the equity they need to offset credit losses, prompting the U.S. Treasury to act. The companies' stock market values are well below the minimum of $10 billion in capital that each would need to raise to ``have any credibility,'' Barron's said in its story.
``We agree with the call for Treasury intervention and think it is very, very likely to happen before the end of the third quarter,'' Ajay Rajadhyaksha, the head of fixed income strategy for Barclays Capital Inc., said in a telephone interview today. ``Without government help, we think there is very little chance of Freddie completing a significant capital raising.''
Doctors Can't Deny Lesbians Care on Religious Grounds
Justice Joyce Kennard ruled that two Christian fertility doctors who refused to artificially inseminate a lesbian couple cannot claim a free speech or religious exemption from California's anti-discrimination law.
The ruling extends a state law barring sexual orientation-based discrimination to the medical profession.
But I was going into Tosche Station to pick up some power converters!It's becoming clear to me that George Lucas was not so much a visionary as he was a stopped clock that the world kept looking towards at just the right time.
-Luke Skywalker, (in arguably the worst written and worst performed line in the original franchise).
Avastin is part of a newer and more expensive generation of cancer medications called biologics, or targeted therapies. Unlike chemotherapy, which attacks cancer in a scorched-earth fashion, targeted therapies hone in on a specific aspect of the cancer disease process, and interrupts it in any number of ways.The article does a nice job of spelling out the brutal choice that is being made here. Do people get access to this drug? Is it worth it?
But Avastin's exciting potential comes with a high sticker price. For an average-size person, a regimen that includes Avastin and chemotherapy can cost $11,000 a month just for the Avastin. That compares to about $300 a month for paclitaxel (the generic form of Taxol) and about $1,500 for Taxotere.
[snip]
The cost might be easier to justify if there were not also concerns about Avastin's long-term effectiveness. A clinical trial involving 700 women found that Avastin extended a tumor's time to progression by about six months for half the patients who received it as part of a combined regimen.
But in most cases the tumor will eventually progress. That is partly why an advisory panel, on a 5-4 vote, recommended against approval. But the Food and Drug Administration decided against this advice.
For James Stewart, a medical oncologist formerly with UW Health, cancer has a "favored-nation status in the medical community" due to the dreaded nature of the disease. "Any cancer drug that shows even minor improvements becomes the new standard, regardless of cost." He is convinced this has not only driven up the cost of treating cancer, but contributed significantly to the rising cost of medical care in general.Nobody wants to think care will be denied on the basis of money - but spending money for the greater good will require some judgment calls, and they will not be fun.
As tabloid reports of a sex scandal threatened former Senator John Edwards’s presidential campaign last December on the eve of the Iowa caucuses, two lawyers surfaced with written statements that appeared to exonerate the candidate.Here's a loose end I sincerely hope is being followed up on: This Mr. Young, who has gamely jumped in to assert his parentage over this child - how is it that he know it's his kid?
One of them, Robert J. Gordon of New York, said that his client, Rielle Hunter, a pregnant 43-year-old filmmaker, was not carrying Mr. Edwards’s child. Shortly thereafter, the other lawyer, Pamela J. Marple of Washington, sent word that her client, Andrew Young, an Edwards campaign aide, was the baby’s father.
Seemingly issued independently of Mr. Edwards, the statements appeared to deflate the anonymously sourced reports of an Edwards tryst. But what went unnoticed was that the two lawyers shared an important connection to Mr. Edwards that suggests they were part of an orchestrated effort to protect him, one that is continuing even after he admitted last week that he had an affair with Ms. Hunter but denied that he fathered her child.
The lawyers are linked through Fred Baron, a wealthy Dallas lawyer and former finance chairman for the Edwards campaign who was a key player in the campaign’s response to the scandal. Mr. Gordon has worked with Mr. Baron on class-action personal injury cases, and Ms. Marple helped defend a lawsuit brought against both men and their law firms by an asbestos manufacturer.
After initially saying that he did not know how the lawyers were chosen to represent Ms. Hunter and Mr. Young, Mr. Baron acknowledged that he might have played a role.
Where there is enough evidence to charge someone with a crime, we vigorously prosecute. But not every wrong, or even every violation of the law, is a crime.Allow me to translate:
I will do my job - as I understand it - to the best of my ability. And I've been informed that my job is to do as little as possible.Remember when this guy was seen as a breath of fresh air?
I see an increasing number of government offices renaming public affairs positions as “strategic media” or "strategic communication" officers. Why is this bad? Because when a newspaper calls up a public affairs officer to find out the number of casualties in an IED attack, the answer should be a number (preferably accurate), not a carefully crafted statement about how well the war is going. The role of public affairs is to convey information, not messages, and anyone who forgets that fundamental role should reread the Pentagon’s “Principles of Information,” which dictates that the public affairs is “to expedite the flow of information to the public; propaganda has no place in DoD public affairs programs."To say the least.
[Barstow's article] was built on the back of a laudable two-year, Freedom of Information Act battle. The Times and its counsel dragged out thousands of pages of Pentagon transcripts, e-mails, and memos describing the program, but only after months of delays and circular excuses. As public editor Clark Hoyt wrote in a column describing the struggle, full cooperation came only after the paper persisted and a judge threatened to bring Pentagon officials into his court to explain “why they shouldn’t be held in contempt.”[snip]Yet not one of the nightly commercial newscasts mentioned the story or offered an on-air explanation to its viewers. Reliable Sources, CNN’s Sunday morning media show, hosted a late-breaking panel the morning Barstow’s article appeared. MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann briefly mentioned it. Elsewhere, the silence has been conspicuous.Given the lack of cooperation some of the news operations gave Barstow in reporting his piece, the weak-kneed response is hardly surprising. Fox News, whose analysts made up the biggest chunk of the Pentagon program, tersely refused to participate in the Times story, and failed to return CJR’s calls seeking comment. CBS also turned down Barstow’s request to comment on its vetting procedures, and failed to respond to CJR’s oral and written requests for comment. NBCand MSNBC jointly rebuffed an interview request, providing instead a statement attacking the Times piece and insisting that they had full confidence in their analysts despite any “personal commitments—past and present.”
...the 10 day rolling average of the Gallup poll is pretty stable, with Obama having a modest 3 to 4 point lead over a fairly long span of time.McCain will continue to thrash like a drowning animal, but all it will net him is the bemused attention of public that has already made up its mind.
Fundamental features of the political situation-- a weak economy, an unpopular war, and the fact that the Republicans have held office for eight years-- suggest that if nothing catastrophic happens, Barack Obama will win the election in November. He may win it in a landslide, but the more likely result is that he will win by a margin of 3 to 4 points-- pretty much where he is now.
Shota Utiashvili, an official in the Georgian Interior Ministry, said the Russians had moved tanks and troops to within a few kilometers of Gori and were “trying to cut the country in half.”
Mr. Utiashvili said that if they tried to occupy Georgia, “there will probably be guerrilla warfare all over the country.”
He said: “We need large supplies of humanitarian aid, because we have thousands of wounded. And weapons. We need weapons.”(via the NYT)