Monday, November 30, 2009

I might watch that show

Megan Garber and Tom Schaller have already said most of what needs to be said about That Couple of dorks who managed to sneak into a state dinner.

But the best one liner on this topic yet comes from Republican Strategist Ed Rollins:
These people want a reality TV show, give them one. It’s called ‘Dealing With the Federal Prosecution System of the District of Columbia.
"Now that sounds like compelling television," chimes CJR's Alexandra Fenwick.

I couldn't agree more.

Another health care case study

Trudy Lieberman shows us how little the current health reform will do for a family unfortunate enough to have high deductible health insurance.

The net effect of all the "reforms?" - They get to keep the lousy coverage they have.

Paying for Pride

Felix Salmon has another delightfully provocative post where he skewers an American sacred cow.

He asks the logical question: if you're underwater on your mortgage, why pay?

Seriously.

As he puts it, when Hank Paulson was at Goldman he "would have fired anyone" who similarly threw good money after bad.

Here's my favorite bit:
It’s asymmetrical, it’s unfair, and it’s about time that homeowners started being informed that a ding to their credit score is not the end of the world; that no one would expect a capitalist company to behave in the way that individuals are being told to behave; and that their options are in fact broader than they might believe.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Twilight zone, or "God how I hate vampire fic"

I had listened to some fawning NPR piece about the Twilight book series and felt like venting my spleen on how stupid the whole concept of vampire lit is.

Set aside the fact that the series is based on a girl being madly in love with an animated corpse - the biggest problem I have with vampire-as-beau plotlines is that they attempt to bestow nobility on staying in a relationship with a man who poses a mortal threat to your existence.

Oh...isn't she brave for staying with a flesh-eating monster?

What a colossal crock of sh!t.

But only those who truly know the series can skewer it the way it deserves, so I'll link to the better work of others.

Saturday, November 28, 2009

It takes a Turk to do that

I'm having entirely too much fun with the website Letters of Note.

The latest find that had me laugh out loud was this exchange between British diplomats during WWII.:
H.M. EMBASSY
MOSCOW

Lord Pembroke
The Foreign Office
London

6th April 1943

My Dear Reggie,

In these dark days man tends to look for little shafts of light that spill from Heaven. My days are probably darker than yours, and I need, my God I do, all the light I can get. But I am a decent fellow, and I do not want to be mean and selfish about what little brightness is shed upon me from time to time. So I propose to share with a tiny flash that has illuminated my sombre life and tell you that God has given me a new Turkish colleague whose card tells me that he is called Mustapha Kunt.

We all feel like that, Reggie, now and then, especially when Spring is upon us, but few of us would care to put it on our cards. It takes a Turk to do that.

(Signed)

Sir Archibald Clerk Kerr,
H.M. Ambassador.

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Google makes me laugh

Guaranteed comic gold in three steps.
  1. Go to Google's homepage
  2. Type this into the search box and wait for the suggested auto-complete phrases to appear:

    Google won

  3. Look at the suggestion about Chuck Norris
Like that?

Try these items as well:
  • How to tell (look for the cat reference)
  • How to ra (look for the children reference)
  • I op (look for the wallet reference)
  • Robots are (look for the medicine reference) 
  • I like Jesus (don't worry, you'll see it) 
All of these, courtesy of Autocomplete Me

Love, Kurt - Jr.

Letters of Note posted a copy of the first letter then-Private Kurt Vonnegut Jr. sent to his family after being freed from German custody in WWII.

It's a good read:
I've been a prisoner of war since December 19th, 1944, when our division was cut to ribbons by Hitler's last desperate thrust through Luxemburg and Belgium. Seven Fanatical Panzer Divisions hit us and cut us off from the rest of Hodges' First Army. The other American Divisions on our flanks managed to pull out: We were obliged to stay and fight. Bayonets aren't much good against tanks: Our ammunition, food and medical supplies gave out and our casualties out-numbered those who could still fight - so we gave up. The 106th got a Presidential Citation and some British Decoration from Montgomery for it, I'm told, but I'll be damned if it was worth it. I was one of the few who weren't wounded. For that much thank God.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Are there more like you at home?

Felix Salmon tags Judge Jeffrey Spinner, of Suffolk County Supreme Court, as his hero of the day.

And no wonder.

The case involves IndyMac (which, you'll recall, exists only in memory) going after a homeowner in such a disgraceful way that the judge not only rejects their claim, not only dismisses any IndyMac claim on the house, but buries them with a motherload of judicial snark.

Here's just a sampling:
Regrettably, the Court has been unable to find even so much as a scintilla of good faith on the part of Plaintiff. Plaintiff comes before this Court with unclean hands yet has the insufferable temerity to demand equitable relief against Defendant
Ahhh... poetry.

Strict, but only when it's convenient

Tom Schaller over at FiveThirtyEight.com has a great post pummeling the typical knee-jerk argument that "Where in the Constitution does it say...?" that we see every time some kook doesn't like what they're seeing on the news.

A sample:
...if you want to be a strict constructionist, fine, but be one even when it’s inconvenient. Imagine if the Second Amendment read as follows: “A woman’s ability to survive childbearing being necessary to a free state, the right to abort a fetus shall not be infringed.” Now, do you think the anti-choice movement would simply ignore the leading clause and resign themselves to the idea that a woman has an unconditional right to abortion? Not a chance, and they'd be right to fight because the language clearly implies a conditional right.

And yet we almost never hear gun rights advocates mention the actual Second Amendment’s leading clause, “A well regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free state….,” which at least suggests a collective right—indeed, obligation—to an armed defense of the state, rather than an individual’s right to use arms to protect himself and his property. For the record, I support gun rights with some restrictions, but that’s besides my point, which is that you can’t be so selective in citing the language in the Constitution that you chop off inconveniently ambiguous parts of the same sentence upon which you base a categorical claim.

Strict constructionalism is a perfectly valid viewpoint, so long as those espousing it understand how radically different it is from the America the founders tried to create - and the one espoused by the political right.

Rather like those cautionary tales about "be careful what you wish for." If we had only what was literally spelled out in ink in the Constitution - we would have a truly bizarre nation.

Polanski gets bail

(via the Beeb)

A Swiss court has accepted film-maker Roman Polanski's plea to be freed on $4.5m bail from a Swiss jail where he is being held for a US child sex case.

The court said Polanski could stay at his chalet in the Swiss Alps. He would be monitored by an electronic tag.

Even if you believe he won't pry off the tag and spirit himself across the border at the earliest opportunity - where is the compelling need for him to await extradition in a chalet as opposed to a cell?

Weak.

Two addendums:
It is highly unusual for extradition subjects to be granted bail in Switzerland, says the BBC's Imogen Foulkes, adding that Polanski's first application was refused.

and from the Beeb's timeline:
It is thought Polanski will remain in jail until the Swiss Justice Ministry decides whether to appeal against the ruling.

Nice Exit

An overwrought developer tells their employer they are leaving - with style:



Respect.

(H/t Alltop)

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Health Care, cost controls, and choice

It's really hard to know what to believe about heath care reform these days.

You read Robert Reich and this much ballyhoo'ed Public Option sounds more like a horse that's been compromised into a camel:
...the compromise that ended up in the House bill is to have a mere public option, open only to the 6 million Americans not otherwise covered. The Congressional Budget Office warns this shrunken public option will have no real bargaining leverage and would attract mainly people who need lots of medical care to begin with. So it will actually cost more than it saves.

But even the House's shrunken and costly little public option is too much for private insurers, Big Pharma, Republicans, and "centrists" in the Senate. So Harry Reid has proposed an even tinier public option, which states can decide not to offer their citizens. According to the CBO, it would attract no more than 4 million Americans.
Yet this is the provision that will be filibustered by the right wing. Because it will destroy private health insurance and turn us into a socialist state.

Uh-huh.

Then you read Ronald Brownstein - and get a totally different perspective on what is and is not happening in the bill when it comes to cost controls:
...the Reid bill's fiscal strategy, and its vision of how to "bend the curve," almost completely follows Baucus' path from September. Baucus' bill was the first to establish the principle that Congress could expand coverage while reducing the federal deficit; now that's the standard not only for the Senate but also the House reform legislation. And, perhaps even more importantly, the Reid bill maintains virtually all of Baucus ideas' for shifting the medical payment system away from today's fee-for-service model toward an approach that more closely links compensation for providers to results for patients. In the Reid bill, there is some backtracking from Baucus' most aggressive reform proposals, but not much.

Almost everything Baucus proposed to control long-term costs have survived into the final bill. And, with only a few exceptions, that's just about all the systemic reforms analysts from the center to the left have identified as the most promising strategies for changing the economic incentives in the medical system. (The public competitor to private insurance companies championed by the Left would affect who writes the checks in the medical system, but not what the checks are written to pay for.)
That post heaps praise onto Sen. Reid's bill for a host of measures that are not part of the current media scream fest.

Then you have Lieberman. No, no - Trudy Lieberman - the one with a soul. She's been dogging this story since the beginning, dredging up all sorts of untidy details. Here's her latest find:
[it's] one of those pesky details embedded in both the House and Senate bills—a clause that lets insurance companies cross state lines to sell their wares. Way before last year’s election, Ronald Williams, the CEO of Aetna, told the Senate Finance Committee that allowing cross-state purchasing of health insurance was a necessary ingredient for reform. The Senate Finance Committee, along with the House, heard his plea.

The provision, euphemistically named the Health Care Choice Compact, would work like this: Two or more states could join together and allow insurers selling health coverage to be governed by the laws and regulations of the state where the policy was issued, not the rules of the state where they’re sold. So a company wanting to sell in, say, Wyoming or South Carolina—which may have weak regulations—could choose to issue its policies in those states but actually sell them in New York or California—where the rules are tougher. If policyholders have problems with their coverage, too bad: the rules of the weaker state would apply, and they could be out of luck.

Insurers, looking toward lucrative new markets, want to fashion their new policies without having to deal with the restrictions and consumer protections required by some states. In other words, the current definition of market reform will mean they have to insure sick folks; in return, they will offer policies with less coverage and fewer protections. Think of it as back-door underwriting—a process that limits these companies’ liability for high-cost claims.

This is the core of the insurers’ business strategy, wrapped in the guise of consumer choice. Remember, this is the Health Care Choice Compact we’re talking about. If consumers want a policy with few benefits or no protections, that’s their choice. It’s kind of like letting a U.S. toy manufacturer sell yo-yos that conform to Chinese—not American—regulations. Take your choice: a yo-yo with lead, or one without?
This is the same crap McCain tried to sell in the election. The same notion that candidate Obama dismissed as something that would lead insurance to follow the pattern of credit cards: a race to the bottom of customer service and value.

Seriously, WTF is going on up there? We're going to have grandstanding about the Public Option and miss the fact that insurance companies are going to end run consumer protection laws? And what about the cost control stuff? If it's good, how come we're not seeing it placed front and center in the discussions?

Instead, we breathless coverage of the vote count, and who's in and who's out. This isn't a horse race - this is the future of how families get health care. Let's nut up and talk policy, now. Otherwise we're going to see a CMFA for the health care industry squeak through while the talking heads blather on about the vote count.

Sudokubomber: is nothing sacred?

Officials of The Philadelphia Inquirer National Sudoku Championship have disqualified the third-place winner of the Oct. 24 tourney after an investigation, which included a retesting at The Inquirer last week.

Eugene Varshavsky of Lawrenceville, N.J., was stripped of his $3,000 prize after doing poorly in the retest.

Now that's just sad.

Not the cheating, but that this guy was smart enough to cheat his way into the final, but too dumb to fill in just a few numbers to win second place. I mean, if you're going to cheat, you could at least bother to learn the basics of the game.

Weak.

(H/t CJR)

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Tactics of the collection agencies

This American Life had an interesting segment about a man plagued by bill collectors.

Not that he was being stalked, but the surprisingly varied tactics his creditors used to get in touch with him. One mailed him a bill every single day. Another called him only to play a Madonna song (in its entirety) and hang up.

The odd things they do are most of the fun, but Bill Cotter's nonchalant delivery is entertaining in itself.

The 445-year old bird

Saw this on the Beeb


Yes, that is a middle finger - and yes, it belongs to Galileo.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Volt porn

G'wan... you know you want it...


(Click for slideshow)

OoooOooOOoOoooooooo.....

(H/t Good blog)

Friday, November 20, 2009

Kwak, translating for Barofsky, sheds light on Maiden Lane III

Maiden Lane, the government's financial simulacrum on the A.I.G. bailout, has never made a lot of sense.

The IG report came out and (at least for types like me) is nigh impenetrable. Enter James Kwak over at Baseline Scenario. He's done the dirty work and written a seriously crunchy post on what happened and why we should give a damn.

Here an especially chewy bit:
...first AIG contributed $5 billion to Maiden Lane III and the New York Fed gave it a $24.3 billion loan. Then Maiden Lane III gave all $26.8 billion to the banks in exchange for the CDOs. (The banks accepted $26.8 billion because they already held $35.0 billion in collateral; together that makes $61.8 billion — as I said, I can’t get $300 million to reconcile.) Then Maiden Lane III gave $2.5 billion right back to AIG (this is the amount by which AIG had overcollateralized). As part of the deal, the banks agreed to tear up the original CDS on the CDOs, so AIG couldn’t lose any more on the CDS (which, remember, are separate from the CDOs).

The controversy is not over paying $29.3 (or $29.6) billion for the CDOs, since that was the market price. The controversy is over whether AIG should have agreed to settle the CDS at 100 cents on the dollar (meaning that the banks get the difference between the face value of the CDOs and their current market value). Bloomberg reported a while back that prior to the government bailout, AIG had been trying to negotiate a settlement at 60-70 cents on the dollar, but that that portion of the term sheet was crossed out in the final agreement. The implication is that paying the swaps off in full was a back-door, off-the-books way of funneling cash to banks that we didn’t want to fail.

So that's the setup. The Fed steers major cash into Maiden Lane, which offers insanely good terms to A.I.G.'s creditors.

This scenario would be made considerably worse if these were "naked swaps" (i.e. not swaps designed to insure the creditor's investment - but a bet that somebody else's investment was about to tank).

Did banks have their bets paid in full by taxpayers?

Let's ask our illustrious Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner:
"I will not answer that question."
Now, that's according to an interview with Rep. Peter DeFazio - and the NY fed is disputing this - but don't you think we should have a firm answer on this question?

Somebody knows the answer for real and should be able to prove it.

Did we cover their bets?

UEFA monitors betting patterns?

Here we go again:
About 200 European football games are under investigation in a match-fixing inquiry, German prosecutors have said.
...

On Thursday police carried out about 50 raids in Germany, the UK, Switzerland and Austria, making 17 arrests and seizing cash and property.

Yeah, yeah... more corruption, but what's interesting - at the end of the article about (yet another) investigation of match fixing in European soccer, there was this little tidbit:
[Following a German scandal in 2005] Uefa has since introduced an early warning system which flags up unusual betting patterns.

The betting fraud detection system monitors real-time betting, giving investigators an immediate idea of whether there are irregular patterns.

The recent arrests would seem to indicate the detection process is working, but the scale of the manipulation must be a concern...

I'll just *ahem* bet

FIFA to Ireland: Get over it

It's official. FIFA will do nothing about Thierry Henry's blatant handball that led to Ireland's elimination from the 2010 World Cup.

Gasp.

I get why FIFA isn't eager to change the status quote. Setting a precedent for "do-overs" (or writing a rule enshrining them) would be the thin end of a wedge of problems.

But you would think that at an individual level, they could address the conduct of the player. Henry could get the card he should have received for the handball.

Denying France their star striker in the group stage is no compensation for Ireland. But the current situation is tells players to do whatever they can get away with.

Ft. Hood: Yet again, the first draft is wrong

This is old news by now, but I thought it was interesting.

Here's the account of an eyewitness to the shooting of Maj. Hasan, as recorded by the NYT:
[The witness] said he was walking in a roadway between the main building, known as the Sportsdome, and five smaller buildings. Major Hasan was headed toward the main building, the witness said, when Sergeant Munley came around the corner of a smaller building. Major Hasan wheeled on her and shot her several times, the witness said. It was unclear whether she squeezed off a shot or not, but she fell over backward, with wounds in her legs and her wrist, the witness said.

Major Hasan then turned his back and began to shove another magazine into his pistol. He did not appear wounded, the witness said. A few seconds later, Sergeant Todd came around another corner of the same building, raised his weapon and fired several times at Major Hasan, who pitched over backward and stopped moving.

“He shot her, turned away from her and was reloading when he was shot,” said the witness, who was nearby.

Which is not to say this eyewitness couldn't be wrong, but read the full story if you haven't already seen it. It makes a case that the news networks might do a better job reporting if they shut up for awhile and got their facts right.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Draft Elizabeth Warren

(Via CJR)
“The time for pitchforks and torches is over.”
Scott Talbott, chief lobbyist for the Financial Services Roundtable, discussing the current appetite for financial regulation.
All due respect, Mr. Talbott - but you're totally full of sh!t.

Prof. Elizabeth Warren has been uncovering all manner of shameful behavior by public and private financial officials. While I've loved her message, I've thought that it was tragic that the only reason she would speak the truth is because her right to speak was her only power.

Bloomberg has a great profile of Prof. Warren and her effect to date - but here's the bit that leaps off the page for me:
The House of Representatives will vote in December on [Prof. Warren's] idea. She suggested a Financial Product Safety Commission in a 2007 article in the magazine Democracy. President Barack Obama proposed it to Congress in June as the Consumer Financial Protection Agency.

Warren won’t discuss whether she may be a candidate to lead the authority, which would have the power to regulate $13.7 trillion of debt products. A Warren nomination would tell banks that Obama is determined to force reduced checking-account fees and limit lender claims in mortgage advertising, among other measures the industry opposes, said Thomas Cooley, dean of New York University’s Stern School of Business.
Now, I can appreciate that there are many hurdles before you have Prof. Warren heading a consumer protection agency with regulatory powers - but this sort of thing was only voiced by crazies only a few months ago. Now you have Bloomberg covering it as a tangible "what-if."

Wild.

Erin go whaa?

That's soccer.

Whenever a bad call is made by the ref or their assistants - this is the mantra that is spit out in the name of moving on.
The goal was clearly offside, yet was allowed to count. That's soccer.
Or:
We were denied a clear penalty, but that's soccer.
I suspect the line is an easy refuge for those who are prevented from expressing their true opinion. It lets them assume the mantle of sportsmanship - of stepping back to see the bigger picture. And in some cases, this can be more than just posturing - it can be an asset to the game.

But then there's sh!t like this:




That, is most definitely not soccer. That is cheating. That it is being done by the greatest player of the '86 World Cup (who suggested his goal was due to the "Hand of God") makes no difference. The world saw him cheat - then watched as FIFA did nothing about it.

That's soccer is not going to make something like that go away.

Neither is it going to do anything for the Irish - who are the latest victims of the policy that the on field ref is the sole arbiter of the game.



Ireland was tied at 1-1 on aggregate with France, which pushed them into extra time at the Stade de France. On a free kick into the Irish box - the ball went to France's Thierry Henry - who then palmed the ball to keep it from going out of bounds, directed the ball towards his foot, and then flicked the ball to Gallas - who nodded in the easy header.

It's on video and it's big as life. Henry even admits the ball hit his hand - although he hasn't admitted that it hit his hand because he grabbed the ball.

So the French go to the World Cup finals and the Irish go home.

Ireland is demanding a re-match - and FIFA is trying to stick to their guns. I understand the principle: once you open these things to any kind of after the fact arbitration, you turn soccer into politics and open the door for (yet more) corruption.

But fans will never forgive the injustice.

FIFA and the French are trying the "that's soccer" route - and it's ringing more hollow than ever. The French coach utterly disgraced himself by suggesting that we should all move on. "It's in the past, let's enjoy the moment..." to which the Irish manager (with admirable restraint) simply asked him if he'd seen the same match everybody else had.

In the past, bad calls were seen by a relatively small percentage of fans. But the speed of modern media makes it possible for a majority of fans to scream in unison and in real time.

FIFA simply cannot continue to sit on the sidelines.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Federal Court to the Corps: pay up

A small acknowledgment of the colossal failure of the Army Corps of Engineers to protect New Orleans:
"It is the court's opinion that the negligence of the Corps, in this instance by failing to maintain the MRGO properly, was not policy, but insouciance, myopia and short-sightedness," U.S. District Court Judge Stanwood Duval Jr. wrote in his lengthy ruling, referring to the Mississippi River-Gulf Outlet canal.
Oh, and they ordered a payout of just over $700,000.

I'm picturing a metaphorical levee, holding back hundreds of thousands of similar legal claims.

-and I'm thinking that levee won't hold.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

TARP Inspector General's report: weak

Ryan Chittum is all over the latest chapter of how badly US taxpayers were served by the TARP bailout.

And he directs us to Yves Smith venting his spleen about the whole mess.

Cripes.

Also, I love the little addendum to Chittum's other post on this. He's quoting Floyd Norris - who asks:

If Goldman and other banks hedged against A.I.G. blowing up and defaulting on the credit default swaps, what companies agreed to cover the risk that A.I.G. would blow up?

Those companies were spared billions worth of losses by the A.I.G. rescue - and we don't even know who they are. The risk kept getting passed around, but somebody knows. And since we all generously agreed to save these people from their bad bet, I think they owe us the courtesy of an introduction.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Detroit gone wild

James Griffioen is a self-described freelance writer and photographer living in Detroit, Michigan.

He's posted an amazing collection of photographs of his city's abandoned houses. He calls them Feral Houses, and you'd be hard pressed to come up with a better name.

Modern Detroit is a boom town of abandoned structures. The usual remedies for such things don't appear to be able to cope with the current numbers.

So - nature's giving a hand:


(H/t E)

Friday, November 13, 2009

Odd science fact of the day, starring... Lithium

Courtesy of Dr. Phil Plait: (emphasis mine)
Somehow, having planets means a star loses its lithium. How the heck does that happen?

A brief digression. Lithium is a weird element. It’s the third lightest after hydrogen and helium, and unlike every other element after it on the periodic table, we don’t think it’s made inside stars. It’s too fragile; the nuclei get smashed up easily, and so it doesn’t last long in the cores of stars. That means that as far as we can tell, all the lithium in the Universe was created in the Big Bang.

Just because it gets wrecked in the cores of stars does not mean they have no lithium at all. Lithium created in the Big Bang would have been in clouds where stars formed, and if a lithium nucleus can avoid the core of the star by staying nearer the surface, it can survive. The Sun has lithium in it, for example, but at far less abundance (<1%) than what you see out in gas clouds. That means the Sun has destroyed a lot - but not all - of its lithium supply.

When astronomers look at other stars like the Sun, the amount of lithium they possess varies wildly. But now it appears that the amount of lithium in a Sun-like star depends on whether it has planets or not. Stars without planets have, on average, 10 times the lithium as stars with planets in the sample.

Weird.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

The Stolen Valor of Vietnam

Several years ago, I remember watching a news story about a medal of honor winner. This man was in his sixties and had chosen to devote his golden years to exposing impostors who claimed to have won the Medal of Honor.

He was driven. His eyes flashed when he talked about those who he'd exposed as frauds. How dare they?

At the time, I'd discussed this story with a family member who scoffed at this man. "Sounds pretty sad to me," they'd said, "embarrassing these old frauds - and for what?"

I think they'd have had a point if the veteran was doing it for the sake of their own award. It would seem petty and prideful. But this man's drive was on behalf of others - dead men who'd won an honor. And their honor was being diminished by the undeserving.

To me, the distinction was ennobling.

Today, I read about a man with a similar quest - and I have to say my impression was the same. In the latest issue of  Columbia Journalism Review, Russell Working revisits the 1998 book Stolen Valor and I have to say I'm sad to have missed it the first time around.

It's by a man named B.G. Burkett, who is determined to point out that popular view of Vietnam veterans is absolutely backward. Burkett's aim was to expose the complete lack of journalism standards in news accounts of Vietnam veterans. Using basic tools like FOIA requests, Burkett let the air out of stories where criminals blamed non-existent Vietnam experiences. Journalists wrote the stories that fit the public mood, and basic fact checking wasn't done. Brazen frauds became heroes, and the collective reputation of veterans became an unjust stereotype.

It's not often you read something that reverses a long held view, but these three paragraphs did for me:
     For reporters trying to make sense of the phenomenon of [Post Traumatic Stress Syndrome], Stolen Valor offers particular cause for concern. Since the war's end, veterans' activists have claimed that anywhere from 200,000 to 2 million of the 3.3 million men who served in the Vietnam theater suffer from PTSD - never mind that fewer than 15 percent of those who set foot in the country were in front-line combat units, Stolen Valor notes. A four-year, $9 million study commissioned by Congress and undertaken by North Carolina researchers concluded that 830,000 Vietnam veterans were suffering from full or partial PTSD.

     Impressive numbers indeed. Yet the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found that only 2.2 percent of Vietnam veterans had the disorder. And the North Carolina study clearly had some methodological flaws. For example, it cited six women who claimed their disorder had been caused by being prisoners of war. "Apparently," write [authors] Burkett and Whitley, "no one involved in analyzing the survey realized that not a single American military woman was ever a prisoner in this war."

     This is not only a matter of principle, but of public finance. The VA offers life-long disability payments to those suffering from PTSD, we read, yet is willing to accept documentation from veterans without checking military records to see if the form has been altered. The result, according to Stolen Valor, is an inflated roster of PTSD victims earning $32,076 per year tax-free for 100 percent disability at taxpayer expense - and more, if there are dependents.
Which is not to suggest that there's no such thing as a PTSD afflicted Vietnam veteran. But the idea that large percentages of them are drug users, psyche cases and criminals deserves a brutal dose of skepticism.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Maj. Hassan, Political Correctness, and Utter Insanity

“If Hasan was showing signs, saying to people that he had become an Islamist extremist, the U.S. Army has to have zero tolerance,” [Senator] Lieberman said. “He should have been gone.”

First off, somebody get that man a puppy already. I'm tired of listening to his desperate pleas for attention.

Second - let's just look at the idiocy of his remark. I've yet to see an account of Maj. Hassan saying to people he had become an Islamist extremist. I'm going to go out on a limb here and speculate - but I'd guess when a person consciously decides to become an extremist, I think it's atypical for them to refer to themselves as an extremist. After all, they're not crazy - everybody who disagrees with them is.

Now, Maj. Hassan did give a truly odd presentation in June 2007 entitled The Koranic World View As It Relates to Muslims in the U.S. Military. Stranger yet, he did this when he was expected to speak on a medical topic. His presentation was 50 slides long. It begins with general facts and figures about Islam and ended with the recommendation that Muslims soldiers be allowed to become conscientious objectors to increase troop morale and "decrease adverse result." In between are the controversial slides depicting Koranic verse that suggests that unbelievers will taste punishment of blazing fire, "like boiling oil, it will boil in their bellies" and that "as often as their skins are roasted through, We shall change them for other skins that they may taste the punishment."

That ought to have earned him some unfriendly attention. I've yet to see anything that definitively establishes that his supervisors did anything or not. But the expectation that this speech alone could be turned into grounds for dismissal from the service....?

Think about what that would mean. About what kind of a message that sends to loyal Muslim soldiers - or to Muslim Americans in general. "Sure, we'll let you in the military, but as soon as you say your religion is better than ours we're kicking you out."

I've been in the company of plenty of servicemembers who thought their religion meant that all non-Christians were going to roast in hellfire. A standard that would retain their services yet discharge Muslims for similar views is about as transparently bigoted as you can get.

But the far right is ready for that argument - it responds that "Political Correctness" has made us less safe. That somehow equality and diversity in the ranks has eroded the military's ability to protect itself.

First off, the militant who is dismissed from the service is merely a pissed off militant in the civilian sector. If Maj. Hassan had become citizen Hassan and had walked into a shopping mall with his two pistols - what would have been achieved? And we'd have the cost to decent, law-abiding Muslims who would suddenly be second class citizens at the insistence of a frenzied majority.

Memo to the nut-bags on the right: the idea that Muslims be treated differently under the law than members of other faiths is un-American. More importantly, it is unconstitutional, and an assault on a founding principle of democracy: equality under the law.

If you're against that, you are against the constitution - and I cannot imagine how you can defend America by undermining the very document to which this nation owes its creation and identity.

Monday, November 09, 2009

Scratch four

In counter-insurgencies, you read a lot about how the bad guys attack and then fade away before the cavalry arrives.The IED-centric nature of the war in both Iraq and Afghanistan bears this out. You have troops stressing over getting killed by bombs placed by people they have never seen.

Well, Free Range International's babatim has a post that establishes that bad guys in A-stan are perfectly capable of doing something incredibly stupid.
While enjoying a morning cup of coffee and checking email up on the Baba Deck with a group of friends who are in from the States we saw what was clearly the signature of a tanker attack just up the road. That has never happened this close to Jalalabad before so we conducted a brief staff meeting which consisted of saying “let’s go” and headed up the road to see what was what.

What was what was a Taleban ambush of a fuel tanker convoy Jalalabad had just kicked off - and the bad guys had picked the wrong place and the wrong time.

Worth a read.

Thursday, November 05, 2009

Credit to the man from Minnesota

Apropos of nothing, I was looking up the process by which we passed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000. That'd be the one that prohibited the government from regulating the Credit Default Swaps that encouraged big investors to take massive risks. These were the  financial products that brought down A.I.G, and damn near everything else..

Anyway - Phil Gramm gets most of the blame for this little slice of legislation, but I remember reading how this was a bipartisan bill.

So, I'm looking it up and find the House Roll Call, noting that my very progressive representative voted for it, but the Senate passed it by unanimous consent - meaning that there was no recorded roll.

Huge spending bill, including provisions that would nearly destroy our economy - no record of who was for and against. Interestingly enough, the agreement to pass the bill by unanimous consent was constructed such that objections after the agreement did not invalidate unanimous consent.

Of the two senators who spoke up - one was the late Senator from Minnesota, Paul Wellstone:

Mr. WELLSTONE. Mr. President I want to voice my strong objection to 
the process by which this legislation is being passed by the Senate. 
The Omnibus Appropriations conference report--containing numerous other 
pieces of unrelated legislation--is being passed by the Senate tonight 
under a consent agreement that was entered suddenly by the Majority 
Leader without the normal notification process. We should have had a 
recorded vote. Since I first came to the Senate 9 years ago I have felt 
that it does the Senate no credit to pass such significant budgetary 
legislation--literally hundreds of billions of dollars--without a 
recorded vote. We cannot be held accountable as Senators to our 
constituents when such bills are passed in this manner. I want to make 
it clear; I oppose this legislation and I would like the Record to show 
that I would have voted no had there been a recorded vote.

Now, I won't presume that Sen. Wellstone foresaw any looming financial cataclysm, but his point here is well made. The Senate used procedure to obscure who supported a piece of legislation that they were passing. I'm sure this continues in many forms, but I think Sen. Wellstone's position is only amplified by that fact.

You pass a bill, your name should be recorded.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Goldmann + New Century = Evil

Ryan Chittum raves about another McClatchy piece documenting how hip deep Goldman Sachs was in the subprime mess. He does the blow by blow of Goldman's dealings with New Century, then follows up a nice summation of what passed for subprime underwriting according to Goldman Sachs:

Goldman Sachs Mortgage, however, published guidelines in early 2007 indicating that it would accept a "stated income, stated asset" loan for a person with a subpar credit score of 600 who was borrowing 90 percent of his or her home's value. The designation meant that although the borrower had poor credit, his or her claimed income and financial background would go unchecked.

He also links back to a lurid 2008 BusinessWeek article that sounds like it came from TV. Chittums pull quote is enough to get you to read it, but here's the one I'd have pulled:

"I didn't want to be a mortgage slut."

Death in perspective

Information is Beautiful has a new graphic depicting the causes of all recorded deaths in a 300 day period.



The graphic's creator, Michæl.Paukner, sources the data to a web app called the world clock, which is in turn sourced to the WHO data - which appears to be estimated.

However, the perspective is still useful.

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Health Care: Us vs. Them

Ezra Klein had some eye-popping charts on the relative cost of health care in other countries.

Now, you know that we pay more, right? But check out the details on specific services.

Here's Ezra:
The health-care reform debate has done a good job avoiding the subject of prices. The argument over the Medicare-attached public plan was, in a way that most people didn't understand, an argument about prices, but it quickly became an argument about a public option without a pricing dimension, and never really looked back. The administration has been very interested in the finding that some states are better at providing cost-effective care than other states, but not in the finding that some countries are better at purchasing care than other countries. "A health-care debate in this country that isn't aware of the price differential is not an informed debate," says Halvorson. By that measure, we have not had a very informed debate.
It is interesting that those who denounce the cost of health care reform, spend precious little time discussing controlling the costs of procedures.

(H/t GOOD blog)

Hot and cold

WSJ reports that the dems have gotten a few things done, after all.

Less important to me than the individual pieces of legislation - is the fact that these rolled through without the sky falling across the aisle. Even as recently as a year ago, the idea that the FDA would be given regulatory authority over tobacco would have been thought impossible. And now it's here - and yet the seas do not foam with blood.

I'm sure the GOP isn't eager to announce its legislative losses - but its just remarkable to see how the hotbutton issue of yesterday is barely worth a mention today.

Monday, November 02, 2009

[Not] adjusted for inflation

Trudy Lieberman's eagle eye has caught a rather devilish detail in the health care bill concerning government subsidies of mandated health insurance premiums.
...the first year the legislation takes effect (2013, as of now), people getting subsidized coverage would have to pay between 2 and 12 percent of their incomes for the insurance, depending on how much they earn. The government, of course, would pay the rest of the cost—that’s the carrot to entice people to buy in the first place. Those with lower incomes would pay less; those with higher incomes more. Okay—seems reasonable.

But in the second year and afterward, Appleby reports that the subsidies will be “based on a percentage of the premium that was paid the first year, no matter how far premiums rise.” Because wages don’t go up as fast as premiums, families, particularly those at the lower end of the income ladder, could easily find themselves paying far more for coverage as a percentage of their income than they were led to believe they would pay. And with premiums going up and up, which is the likely scenario, they will struggle and perhaps forgo insurance altogether.

The mandate that Pres. Obama campaigned against and now champions - just keeps getting uglier.

Bank walkaways

(H/t E)

There was an awful lot of coverage when homeowners were reportedly bailing out on their mortgages - (a lot of it pushed by the lending industry).

Shoe's on the other foot these days.

Here's The Dayton Daily News:
The so-called “walkaways” can occur along several different paths, but the effect is the same — after threatening or getting foreclosure, the lender attempts to abandon the usually vacant property, leaving the original owner, the neighbors and the city to live with the damage.

Owners often accumulate taxes and zoning enforcement fines on property they believe they no longer own.

Neighbors watch their property values decline as the vacant property deteriorates and is often broken into and stripped.

Cities then have to bear the cost of boarding up a structure, maintaining the lawn and, eventually, demolishing it.
If you're like me - that second sentence got your attention.

"Owners often accumulate taxes and zoning enforcment fines on property they believe they no longer own"

How does that happen?

Like this:
The house at 24 Glencoe Ave. looks bad on the outside.

[it] was purchased in January 2003 by the current owner, Donald Hennessey of McMurray, Pa. By October 2004, a foreclosure case had been opened, and Homecomings Financial Network, Inc. — which is owned by GMAC — was granted a foreclosure in March 2005. The property was ordered for sale at sheriff’s auction the following month.

Everything appeared to be on track until the appraisal required for a sheriff’s auction came in at $30,000 — well under the $71,792 that was owed on the mortgage. The sheriff’s sale was canceled in May and a few days later the lender dismissed the foreclosure.

So even though Hennessey thought the house had gone back to the bank, he still owned the vacant and abandoned property — and was on the hook for the growing property taxes and zoning fines from the city.

...

“I said I was sorry to inform them that the bank stopped the foreclosure, discharged the loan and never took title to the property, so it’s still theirs,” [Dayton Housing Inspector John] Carter said.

It gets better. The owners are on the hook for the unpaid bills because they "own" the house. Of course, they only own it because the market is depressed and their lender doesn't want it right now.

As the GMAC spokesperson in the story points out "the investor may decide to halt the foreclosure sale but reserve the right to foreclose at a later date, maybe when the market recovers."
That’s exactly what happened at 24 Glencoe. Homecomings dismissed the foreclosure “without prejudice,” meaning it still holds a lien on the property and can come back to foreclose later.
So these people are allowed to own the accrued fines and taxes until such time as the bank chooses to step in and take the place.

A commenter called SquareState nailed it: "How is it that individuals can't walk away from property they own without consequences, but banks can?"

Damn good question.

McClatchy: We told you Goldman was evil

(via CJR)
Today’s McLatchy story—“Goldman takes on new role: taking away people’s homes,”—beautifully illustrates the intimate intertwining of Wall Street and the subprime business. Here, Goldman is shown coping with the consequences of having bought mortgages from Argent Mortgage Co., a unit of Ameriquest Morgage Co. Now, Goldman may feel it is being unfairly tarred for just doing what it is supposed to do—make money—but, sorry, this is a clear case of lying down with dogs and being surprised to wake up with fleas.

Read Dean Starkman's take first. Good snark.

Losing track

There's just too much going on these days.

Abdullah hands the Afghan presidency to Hamid Karzai. So, where does this leave US strategy?
I have no idea - here's the take of FRI's babatim:
Our Secretary of State says that means nothing. I agree but for different reasons; in the end it does not matter who is leading the country – the Afghan government will not be a proper [counterinsurgency] partner and will continue to be part of the problem regardless of how these elections turn out. Conducting a runoff will only give the bad guys more opportunity for mischief while accomplishing nothing.

Instead, babatim suggests we focus on making the Afghan military into something useful.
If we want to rapidly build the Afghan Security Forces the only way to do it is to live and work with them 24/7. We need to adopt them, feed them, pay them, and watch after them. What can a US officer really do when the Colonel he is mentoring cannot feed his own troops because the money to buy that chow is siphoned off by officers above him? If they make a stink about it the Afghan Colonel is sure to be relieved and thrown out on the streets. The current mentors have guys fighting daily while dealing with problems they would never encounter in the American system. They do the best they can to support the unit they are assigned to mentor, but they are not really embedded. They live of separate compounds inside the Afghan compounds completely separate from their charges. Mentoring means leading by example while living and fighting with your host country troops. It does not mean setting up a parallel [Tactical Operations Center], camp, cook house, offices, and coffee shop where the Afghans are not welcomed or allowed.

All that sounds good - but I still don't know what the US gets out of a strong Afghan military if the government remains a behive of corruption.

Then there's the NY 23rd congressional race. This race is so bizarre. You had the hard right sabotaging a GOP incumbent, against the wishes of the local party. And doing it with a candidate who apparently wasn't terribly plugged into local issues.

Sure, the quest for party purity is a cyclical thing, but the dems chewing on Lieberman never seemed so top-down. And you didn't have party big-wigs on both sides of that one.

There's been an awful lot of ink about how the GOP is going to fracture - but this is an undeniable attempt by the national GOP leadership to kick out a moderate. You have to wonder just how far the Club For Growth types are going to push the party before the see the edge of the cliff.

Oh, and our progressive president is reluctantly, mournfully, yet forcefully adopting the same position on state secrets as the Bush administration. Way to suck there, guys. I hope Judge Walker sticks it to you every bit as hard as you deserve.